For each match — a tactical read, probabilities adjusted from live form and squad data, and one precise bet with fair odds calculated. Backed by the same Poisson model that powers the Predictor, recalibrated before every kick-off.
◆ Tactical match-up — systems, key duels, how the game plays out
◆ Probabilities adjusted live from real form and squad data
◆ H2H history and psychological edge
◆The Bet — one pick, fair odds, go/no-go condition
◆ Where the market is mispricing the match
◆ Unlimited predictions — any of the 48 nations, any match-up
$19.99
One-time payment · Instant access · All 104 matches · No subscription
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WC2026 · AUTOSTAT
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WC2026 · Statistical Predictor · autostat404.com
Stop Guessing. Start Winning.
48 nations. 104 matches. Real qualifying data, live signals and a Poisson engine — recalibrated before every game.
Exact score predictedNot just who wins
Real qualifying dataEvery goal analyzed
104 matches coveredGroups to Final
Poisson modelProfessional analytics
Free to start · Pro unlocks everything for $19.99
48Nations
104Matches
FreeAccess
$19.99Pro
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Match Predictor
Poisson model on real qualifying data — exact score, win probabilities, full distribution.
🔬 What If? — Simulate any head-to-head. France vs Argentina? Spain vs Morocco? Pick any two teams. Free: 2/day. Go Pro for unlimited.
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Tournament Simulation
Deterministic — always picks the most probable outcome at each stage. Shows the full WC2026 bracket from Group Stage to Final, exactly as the model expects it to play out. Based on real qualifying ATT/DEF data.
Monte Carlo
Runs 100 independent randomized tournaments. Each match is drawn probabilistically from the Poisson model. Shows who wins most often — captures variance, upsets, and dark horses that the deterministic sim misses.
Odds Value Checker
Pick a match, enter the 3 odds from your bookmaker (Win 1 / Draw / Win 2). We instantly flag value bets vs our Poisson model.
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Statistical Insights
Key findings from the Poisson model — data-driven insights you won't find anywhere else.
Pro Feature
Expert Intelligence — Match-Up Analysis
Go beyond statistics. For any match-up you choose, our intelligence engine scans live signals — press conferences, squad news, corridor whispers, weak signals from around the world — and combines them with the Poisson model to deliver 6 structured intelligence blocks: tactical match-up, what the numbers say, H2H psychology, live signals, the expert bet, and the contrarian angle.
⚔ Tactical Match-Up
📊 Model Numbers
🔥 H2H Psychology
📡 Live Signals
◆ Expert Bet
⚡ Contrarian Angle
Every match. Every edge.
104 WC2026 matches. Probabilities adjusted from live data. One precise bet per game.
FrancevsArgentinaLive demo
API · Live signals · Recent form · Squad availability
You just saw France vs Argentina. Pro unlocks the same for all 104 WC2026 matches — any team, any game, updated before every kick-off.
One-time payment · No subscription · Instant access
Connected — live signals worldwide
Select any match-up:
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Team Database
Select a team to view full profile
Today's Matches
Live match picks for today — updated daily from June 11. Based on the Poisson model + live signals.
Best Value Match — Poisson Model Pick · Base model, group stage matches
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WC2026 STARTS JUNE 11
Live match picks will appear here daily once the tournament begins. Come back on June 11 for the opening match — Mexico vs South Africa at Estadio Azteca.
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The Poisson Model
Expected goals lambda = AttackA x DefenseB x 1.4 baseline. Poisson distribution gives the full score probability matrix.
lambda(A) = AttStr(A) x DefWk(B) x 1.4 P(k goals) = e^-lambda x lambda^k / k!
Attack & Defense Ratings
Attack = goals scored per game divided by confederation average. Defense = goals conceded per game divided by confederation average.
